Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Gustavo Mancha remove | Ivan Lepskiy remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 21 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Rio Ave FC · Liga Portugal | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1317 | 1262 |
| League minutes | 1603 (52%) | 1150 (43%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 28 | 20 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €733k – €2.3M | €401k – €1.6M |
| Model value | €518k – €2.6M | €454k – €917k |
| Projected value (24m) | €883k – €3.7M | €474k – €2.3M |
| Bargain Index | 96/100 | 55/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 28% | 21% |
| Risk | Very High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€733k – €2.3M Model value (performance-implied)€518k – €2.6M Projected value (24 months)€883k – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€401k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€454k – €917k Projected value (24 months)€474k – €2.3M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Gustavo Mancha and Ivan Lepskiy
- On value for money the model prefers Mancha (Bargain Index 96 vs 55) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.