Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Thibaut Courtois removeIvan Provedel remove
Age3432
PositionGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
Club · leagueReal Madrid · LaligaSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. · Serie A
League strength0.950.93
Team strength (Elo)17451522
League minutes2880 (84%)2430 (71%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.000.00
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.000.00
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile9990
Market value€15.0M€3.0M
Estimated acquisition€5.4M – €15.2M€1.0M – €3.8M
Model value€4.2M – €18.2M€3.0M – €11.4M
Projected value (24m)€3.7M – €7.9M€912k – €2.1M
Bargain IndexNo index6/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€5.4M – €15.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.2M – €18.2M
Projected value (24 months)€3.7M – €7.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €3.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.0M – €11.4M
Projected value (24 months)€912k – €2.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Thibaut Courtois and Ivan Provedel

  • Provedel is estimated to cost far less (€2.3M vs €7.3M mid-estimate).