Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Tiago Gabriel remove | Filippo Terracciano remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 23 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | US Lecce · Serie A | US Cremonese · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1352 | 1299 |
| League minutes | 3220 (94%) | 3012 (88%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 57 | 66 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €4.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €7.5M – €19.8M | €2.5M – €6.4M |
| Model value | €2.2M – €14.8M | €2.4M – €15.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €11.2M – €31.0M | €2.5M – €10.3M |
| Bargain Index | 97/100 | 71/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 20% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€7.5M – €19.8M Model value (performance-implied)€2.2M – €14.8M Projected value (24 months)€11.2M – €31.0M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €6.4M Model value (performance-implied)€2.4M – €15.5M Projected value (24 months)€2.5M – €10.3M Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Tiago Gabriel and Filippo Terracciano
- Terracciano is estimated to cost far less (€4.4M vs €10.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Gabriel (Bargain Index 97 vs 71) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Gabriel Low, Terracciano Moderate.