Filippo Terracciano
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Filippo Terracciano's performance-implied value at EUR 2.4M-15.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.5M-6.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-10.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 71
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 65.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €4.4M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +19% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3012 (88% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 66 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1299
- Opponent strength
- 1500
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.5M – €10.3M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 72 pts; changed club; team strength down (-326 Elo); relative output up 138% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +32% (IQR +5% to +70%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Cremonese | Serie A | CB | 36 | 3012 | 88% | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 1500 | 1299 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | AC Milan | Serie A | CB | 13 | 534 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1494 | 1625 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | RM | 18 | 1296 | 38% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.18 | 1480 | 1381 | 0.98 |
| 2023/24 | AC Milan | Serie A | RB | 3 | 75 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1483 | 1625 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | RM | 20 | 816 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 1460 | 1357 | 0.94 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Cremonese | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | AC Milan | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | AC Milan | 2 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1538 |
| 2024/25 | Supercoppa Italiana | AC Milan | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1673 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Hellas Verona | 1 | 80 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | AC Milan | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | AC Milan | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1570 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Plattenhardt Bundesliga · 2014 | 22 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Shkodran Mustafi Serie A · 2014 | 22 | €4.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Caleb Okoli Serie A · 2024 | 23 | €8.0M | €8.0M | flat |
| Issiaga Sylla Ligue 1 · 2016 | 22 | €2.0M | €3.0M | rose |
| Valentin Rosier Ligue 1 · 2018 | 22 | €4.5M | €4.8M | flat |
| Jordan Amavi Ligue 1 · 2015 | 21 | €4.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Silvan Widmer Serie A · 2015 | 22 | €6.0M | €9.0M | rose |
| Houboulang Mendes Ligue 1 · 2022 | 24 | €3.0M | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Cremonese | AC Milan | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 11 Aug 2025 | AC Milan | Cremonese | Free / loan | €3.2M |
| 8 Jan 2024 | Hellas Verona | AC Milan | €4.5M | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Verona U19 | Hellas Verona | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Hellas U17 | Verona U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Hellas Verona Y | Hellas U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.