Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Matías Moreno remove | Cenk Özkacar remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 25 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Levante UD · Laliga | 1.FC Köln · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1420 | 1347 |
| League minutes | 2256 (66%) | 1793 (59%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 60 | 56 |
| Market value | €6.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €4.3M – €10.2M | €2.2M – €6.0M |
| Model value | €2.9M – €9.3M | €1.8M – €5.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.8M – €15.0M | €1.7M – €5.8M |
| Bargain Index | 71/100 | 28/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 35% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€4.3M – €10.2M Model value (performance-implied)€2.9M – €9.3M Projected value (24 months)€3.8M – €15.0M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.2M – €6.0M Model value (performance-implied)€1.8M – €5.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.7M – €5.8M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Matías Moreno and Cenk Özkacar
- Moreno is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Özkacar is estimated to cost far less (€3.9M vs €6.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Moreno (Bargain Index 71 vs 28) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.