Cenk Özkacar

The model rates Cenk Özkacar's performance-implied value at EUR 1.8M-5.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.2M-6.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-5.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1793 (59% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.00

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.03

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

56 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.94 (rank 3)

Team strength (Elo)

1347

Opponent strength

1505

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.7M – €5.8M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 36 pts; changed club; team strength up (+131 Elo); relative output down 57% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -37% to +14%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1793 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.