Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Marnon Busch remove | Lucas Ahijado remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga | Real Oviedo · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1323 | 1294 |
| League minutes | 1913 (63%) | 1092 (32%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.28 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 53 | 38 |
| Market value | €1.0M | €600k |
| Estimated acquisition | €241k – €766k | €140k – €650k |
| Model value | €640k – €2.3M | €337k – €1.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €331k – €922k | €226k – €585k |
| Bargain Index | 68/100 | 80/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€241k – €766k Model value (performance-implied)€640k – €2.3M Projected value (24 months)€331k – €922k Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€140k – €650k Model value (performance-implied)€337k – €1.0M Projected value (24 months)€226k – €585k Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Marnon Busch and Lucas Ahijado
- Busch was used far more by the club (63% of minutes vs 32%).
- On value for money the model prefers Ahijado (Bargain Index 80 vs 68) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.