Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Matthias Ginter remove | Danny da Costa remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 32 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga | 1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1551 | 1485 |
| League minutes | 2836 (93%) | 2698 (88%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 90 | 84 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €1.2M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.6M – €4.2M | €393k – €1.1M |
| Model value | €3.8M – €10.9M | €1.6M – €5.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.3M – €2.7M | €399k – €980k |
| Bargain Index | 39/100 | 79/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.6M – €4.2M Model value (performance-implied)€3.8M – €10.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €2.7M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€393k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €5.1M Projected value (24 months)€399k – €980k Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Matthias Ginter and Danny da Costa
- Costa is estimated to cost far less (€523k vs €2.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Costa (Bargain Index 79 vs 39) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.