Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Matz Sels remove | Ivan Provedel remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 32 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Nottingham Forest · Premier League | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. · Serie A |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1635 | 1522 |
| League minutes | 2667 (78%) | 2430 (71%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 97 | 90 |
| Market value | €3.5M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.4M – €5.3M | €1.0M – €3.8M |
| Model value | €3.5M – €6.6M | €3.0M – €11.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €963k – €2.2M | €912k – €2.1M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 6/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €5.3M Model value (performance-implied)€3.5M – €6.6M Projected value (24 months)€963k – €2.2M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €3.8M Model value (performance-implied)€3.0M – €11.4M Projected value (24 months)€912k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Matz Sels and Ivan Provedel
- Provedel is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Sels plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.93); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.