Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jan Virgili remove | Joel Roca remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 19 | 21 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | RCD Mallorca · Laliga | Girona FC · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1421 | 1413 |
| League minutes | 1796 (53%) | 1468 (43%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 50 | 45 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €13.2M – €25.7M | €5.1M – €12.9M |
| Model value | €2.4M – €18.7M | €2.3M – €14.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €9.5M – €28.2M | €4.0M – €16.6M |
| Bargain Index | 27/100 | 56/100 |
| Development | High | High |
| Breakout probability | 28% | 36% |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€13.2M – €25.7M Model value (performance-implied)€2.4M – €18.7M Projected value (24 months)€9.5M – €28.2M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€5.1M – €12.9M Model value (performance-implied)€2.3M – €14.6M Projected value (24 months)€4.0M – €16.6M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jan Virgili and Joel Roca
- Virgili has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.46 vs 0.38 per 90).
- Roca is estimated to cost far less (€7.3M vs €20.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Roca (Bargain Index 56 vs 27) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Virgili Low, Roca Moderate.