Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jerry Afriyie remove | Jordhy Thompson remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 19 | 21 |
| Position | Striker | Right winger |
| Club · league | RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League | FC Orenburg · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1297 | 1218 |
| League minutes | 2049 (76%) | 2141 (79%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 25 | 20 |
| Market value | €1.2M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €785k – €3.4M | €706k – €2.1M |
| Model value | €676k – €4.3M | €795k – €1.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €739k – €5.3M | €808k – €3.4M |
| Bargain Index | 49/100 | 94/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 29% | 19% |
| Risk | Moderate | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€785k – €3.4M Model value (performance-implied)€676k – €4.3M Projected value (24 months)€739k – €5.3M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€706k – €2.1M Model value (performance-implied)€795k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€808k – €3.4M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jerry Afriyie and Jordhy Thompson
- Afriyie is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Thompson has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.53 vs 0.44 per 90).
- Thompson is estimated to cost far less (€941k vs €1.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Thompson (Bargain Index 94 vs 49) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Afriyie Moderate, Thompson Very High.