Jerry Afriyie
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jerry Afriyie's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-4.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-3.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-5.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.86x the positional average in the league (2049 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 49
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 25.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 19.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €1.9M vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +57% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 29% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2049 (76% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.26
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.44
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 25 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1297
- Opponent strength
- 1383
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 29%
- Resale range (24m)
- €739k – €5.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -35% to +19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 78 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–126%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 25 | 2049 | 76% | 5 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.44 | 1383 | 1296 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | RAAL La Louvière | 6 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1274 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Gianniotas Super League 1 · 2013 | 20 | €900k | €800k | flat |
| Elayis Tavsan Eredivisie · 2022 | 21 | €1.4M | €1.0M | fell |
| Stelios Vasiliou Super League 1 · 2013 | 22 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Crysencio Summerville Eredivisie · 2020 | 19 | €900k | €2.0M | rose |
| Mike van Duinen Eredivisie · 2013 | 22 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Queensy Menig Eredivisie · 2017 | 22 | €1.0M | €850k | flat |
| Tornike Okriashvili Premier Liga · 2013 | 21 | €1.0M | €2.0M | rose |
| Vladyslav Vakula Premier Liga · 2020 | 21 | €725k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | La Louvière | Al-Qadsiah | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Al-Qadsiah | La Louvière | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | CD Lugo | Al-Qadsiah | Free / loan | €200k |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Al-Qadsiah | CD Lugo | Free / loan | €100k |
| 23 Jan 2025 | Thoughts FC | Al-Qadsiah | Unknown | €100k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.