Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Barney Stewart remove | Sem van Duijn remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 22 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Falkirk FC · Scottish Premiership | SC Telstar · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1181 | 1216 |
| League minutes | 1159 (39%) | 1013 (33%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.78 | 0.62 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 12 | 7 |
| Market value | €1.0M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €516k – €2.3M | €392k – €1.5M |
| Model value | €394k – €1.3M | €324k – €665k |
| Projected value (24m) | €601k – €3.5M | €488k – €2.2M |
| Bargain Index | 61/100 | 93/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 25% | 19% |
| Risk | Very High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€516k – €2.3M Model value (performance-implied)€394k – €1.3M Projected value (24 months)€601k – €3.5M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€392k – €1.5M Model value (performance-implied)€324k – €665k Projected value (24 months)€488k – €2.2M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Barney Stewart and Sem van Duijn
- Duijn is estimated to cost far less (€523k vs €1.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Duijn (Bargain Index 93 vs 61) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.