Barney Stewart
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Barney Stewart's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-3.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.39x the positional average in the league (1159 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 61
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 12th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €1.1M vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +25% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 25% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1159 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.78
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.70
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 12 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1181
- Opponent strength
- 1211
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 25%
- Resale range (24m)
- €601k – €3.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -11% to +19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1159 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 12 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 75%–114%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 67%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Falkirk FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 14 | 1159 | 39% | 8 | 2 | 0.78 | 0.70 | 1211 | 1181 | 0.31 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Falkirk FC | 4 | 271 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konrad Michalak Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €1.5M | €1.7M | flat |
| Mustafa Eskihellaç Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €1.0M | €1.4M | rose |
| Gustav Marcussen Superliga · 2020 | 22 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Stuart McKinstry Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 21 | €325k | €325k | flat |
| Admir Bajrovic Super League 1 · 2019 | 24 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Zymer Bytyqi Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €1.1M | €3.5M | rose |
| Alex Fernandes Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Denzel Jubitana Super League 1 · 2024 | 25 | €600k | €600k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | Dunfermline A. | Falkirk | Free / loan | €125k |
| 26 Sept 2025 | Falkirk | Dunfermline A. | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jan 2025 | Heriot Watt | Falkirk | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Falkirk | Heriot Watt | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 24 Oct 2024 | Heriot Watt | Falkirk | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Hayes U19 | Heriot Watt | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | QPR Academy | Hayes U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.