Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Virgil van Dijk remove | Luke Shaw remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 30 |
| Position | Centre-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Liverpool FC · Premier League | Manchester United · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1682 | 1715 |
| League minutes | 3420 (100%) | 3233 (95%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 100 | 96 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €8.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €5.8M – €15.1M | €2.3M – €6.3M |
| Model value | €4.5M – €10.2M | €10.0M – €29.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.2M – €9.7M | €2.3M – €4.4M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 18/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€5.8M – €15.1M Model value (performance-implied)€4.5M – €10.2M Projected value (24 months)€4.2M – €9.7M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.3M – €6.3M Model value (performance-implied)€10.0M – €29.3M Projected value (24 months)€2.3M – €4.4M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Virgil van Dijk and Luke Shaw
- Shaw is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Shaw is estimated to cost far less (€3.1M vs €7.7M mid-estimate).