Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Renato Nhaga remove | Andrey Ivlev remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 19 | 19 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Casa Pia AC · Liga Portugal | FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1247 | 1176 |
| League minutes | 1271 (42%) | 1400 (52%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 6 | 8 |
| Market value | €6.0M | €1.2M |
| Estimated acquisition | €5.0M – €10.9M | €789k – €2.6M |
| Model value | €333k – €1.0M | €405k – €989k |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.3M – €14.7M | €713k – €4.3M |
| Bargain Index | 44/100 | 71/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 16% | 23% |
| Risk | High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€5.0M – €10.9M Model value (performance-implied)€333k – €1.0M Projected value (24 months)€3.3M – €14.7M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€789k – €2.6M Model value (performance-implied)€405k – €989k Projected value (24 months)€713k – €4.3M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Renato Nhaga and Andrey Ivlev
- Ivlev is estimated to cost far less (€1.4M vs €7.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Ivlev (Bargain Index 71 vs 44) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Nhaga High, Ivlev Very High.