Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Yvon Mvogo remove | Adrian Semper remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 28 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | FC Lorient · Ligue 1 | Pisa Sporting Club · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1420 | 1260 |
| League minutes | 2790 (91%) | 2250 (66%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 68 | 49 |
| Market value | €2.5M | €1.8M |
| Estimated acquisition | €836k – €2.4M | €552k – €1.6M |
| Model value | €909k – €3.6M | €552k – €2.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €634k – €1.8M | €796k – €2.0M |
| Bargain Index | 39/100 | 79/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€836k – €2.4M Model value (performance-implied)€909k – €3.6M Projected value (24 months)€634k – €1.8M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€552k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€552k – €2.6M Projected value (24 months)€796k – €2.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Yvon Mvogo and Adrian Semper
- Semper is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Mvogo was used far more by the club (91% of minutes vs 66%).
- Semper is estimated to cost far less (€736k vs €1.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Semper (Bargain Index 79 vs 39) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Mvogo High, Semper Low.