Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Serge Gnabry removePaulo Dybala remove
Age3032
PositionSecond strikerSecond striker
Club · leagueBayern Munich · BundesligaAssociazione Sportiva Roma · Serie A
League strength0.940.93
Team strength (Elo)18711638
League minutes1228 (40%)1356 (40%)
G+A per 90 (raw)1.030.60
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.420.46
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile9588
Market value€18.0M€5.0M
Estimated acquisition€9.7M – €19.0M€1.8M – €6.0M
Model value€16.6M – €34.0M€4.8M – €12.7M
Projected value (24m)€4.7M – €11.1M€1.3M – €3.3M
Bargain Index1/1003/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateHigh
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€9.7M – €19.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€16.6M – €34.0M
Projected value (24 months)€4.7M – €11.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€1.8M – €6.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.8M – €12.7M
Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Serge Gnabry and Paulo Dybala

  • Dybala is estimated to cost far less (€3.7M vs €13.6M mid-estimate).
  • Risk differs: Gnabry Moderate, Dybala High.