Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Filip Kostić remove | Gerard Gumbau remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 31 |
| Position | Left midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Juventus FC · Serie A | Rayo Vallecano · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1614 | 1518 |
| League minutes | 468 (14%) | 1172 (34%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 75 | 66 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €1.2M |
| Estimated acquisition | €789k – €2.7M | €360k – €1.1M |
| Model value | €1.3M – €3.2M | €1.3M – €4.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €638k – €1.8M | €380k – €1.0M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 66/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€789k – €2.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €3.2M Projected value (24 months)€638k – €1.8M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€360k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €4.4M Projected value (24 months)€380k – €1.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Filip Kostić and Gerard Gumbau
- Gumbau is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Kostić has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.35 vs 0.19 per 90).
- Gumbau was used far more by the club (34% of minutes vs 14%).
- Gumbau is estimated to cost far less (€480k vs €1.3M mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Kostić Very High, Gumbau High.