Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lukas Lerager remove | Ismael Silva remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 31 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | FC Copenhagen · Superliga | RFK Akhmat Grozny · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1359 | 1279 |
| League minutes | 1187 (60%) | 2217 (82%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 49 | 36 |
| Market value | €800k | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €235k – €864k | €188k – €637k |
| Model value | €388k – €1.7M | €526k – €805k |
| Projected value (24m) | €256k – €528k | €280k – €529k |
| Bargain Index | 22/100 | 37/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€235k – €864k Model value (performance-implied)€388k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€256k – €528k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€188k – €637k Model value (performance-implied)€526k – €805k Projected value (24 months)€280k – €529k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lukas Lerager and Ismael Silva
- Silva was used far more by the club (82% of minutes vs 60%).
- Silva is estimated to cost far less (€250k vs €425k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Silva (Bargain Index 37 vs 22) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.