Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Raphaël Guerreiro remove | João Cancelo remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 32 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Bayern Munich · Bundesliga | FC Barcelona · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1871 | 1787 |
| League minutes | 782 (26%) | 953 (28%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.92 | 0.47 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 94 | 87 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €8.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.7M – €5.8M | €2.3M – €6.4M |
| Model value | €5.2M – €10.8M | €3.3M – €18.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.4M – €3.1M | €2.3M – €4.2M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 11/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €5.8M Model value (performance-implied)€5.2M – €10.8M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €3.1M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.3M – €6.4M Model value (performance-implied)€3.3M – €18.1M Projected value (24 months)€2.3M – €4.2M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Raphaël Guerreiro and João Cancelo
- Risk differs: Guerreiro Very High, Cancelo High.