Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Emerson remove | José Gayà remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Olympique Marseille · Ligue 1 | Valencia CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1504 | 1497 |
| League minutes | 2113 (69%) | 2462 (72%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 87 | 77 |
| Market value | €9.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.5M – €7.0M | €1.0M – €3.1M |
| Model value | €3.7M – €7.7M | €2.6M – €10.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.1M – €4.6M | €1.3M – €2.9M |
| Bargain Index | 7/100 | 35/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €7.0M Model value (performance-implied)€3.7M – €7.7M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €4.6M Dashed line: current market value (€9.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €3.1M Model value (performance-implied)€2.6M – €10.4M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Emerson and José Gayà
- Gayà is estimated to cost far less (€1.4M vs €3.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Gayà (Bargain Index 35 vs 7) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.