Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Carlos Mané remove | Xeber Alkain remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 29 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Kayserispor · Super Lig | Karpaty Lviv · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1147 | 1213 |
| League minutes | 1044 (34%) | 929 (34%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.09 | 0.39 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 13 | 16 |
| Market value | €600k | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €141k – €596k | €194k – €549k |
| Model value | €201k – €485k | €355k – €1.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €216k – €531k | €356k – €774k |
| Bargain Index | 66/100 | 88/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€141k – €596k Model value (performance-implied)€201k – €485k Projected value (24 months)€216k – €531k Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€194k – €549k Model value (performance-implied)€355k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€356k – €774k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Carlos Mané and Xeber Alkain
- Alkain is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Mané plays in a stronger league (0.40 vs 0.25); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- On value for money the model prefers Alkain (Bargain Index 88 vs 66) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.