Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jacob Murphy remove | Aitor Ruibal remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 30 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Newcastle United · Premier League | Real Betis Balompié · Laliga |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1631 | 1549 |
| League minutes | 1620 (47%) | 1814 (53%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 94 | 80 |
| Market value | €12.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.9M – €10.7M | €1.5M – €4.3M |
| Model value | €13.1M – €25.5M | €3.6M – €9.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.6M – €6.0M | €1.1M – €2.9M |
| Bargain Index | 11/100 | 15/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.9M – €10.7M Model value (performance-implied)€13.1M – €25.5M Projected value (24 months)€2.6M – €6.0M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €4.3M Model value (performance-implied)€3.6M – €9.4M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jacob Murphy and Aitor Ruibal
- Murphy plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.95); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Ruibal is estimated to cost far less (€2.7M vs €5.3M mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Murphy High, Ruibal Low.