Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Nikita Chernov remove | Ferro remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 29 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga | GD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1262 | 1305 |
| League minutes | 1406 (52%) | 1634 (53%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 33 | 31 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €370k – €1.4M | €339k – €859k |
| Model value | €518k – €1.1M | €410k – €1.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €441k – €1.1M | €475k – €1.0M |
| Bargain Index | 35/100 | 88/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€370k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€518k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€441k – €1.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€339k – €859k Model value (performance-implied)€410k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€475k – €1.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Nikita Chernov and Ferro
- Ferro is estimated to cost far less (€451k vs €859k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Ferro (Bargain Index 88 vs 35) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.