Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Rafael Barbosa remove | Emilio Simonsen remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 26 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Avs Futebol · Liga Portugal | FC Fredericia · Superliga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1182 | 1183 |
| League minutes | 648 (21%) | 901 (46%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.60 | 0.47 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 6 | 1 |
| Market value | €300k | €300k |
| Estimated acquisition | €67k – €308k | €111k – €316k |
| Model value | €278k – €612k | €286k – €525k |
| Projected value (24m) | €171k – €315k | €222k – €418k |
| Bargain Index | No index | 99/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€67k – €308k Model value (performance-implied)€278k – €612k Projected value (24 months)€171k – €315k Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€111k – €316k Model value (performance-implied)€286k – €525k Projected value (24 months)€222k – €418k Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Rafael Barbosa and Emilio Simonsen
- Simonsen is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Barbosa has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.60 vs 0.47 per 90).
- Simonsen was used far more by the club (46% of minutes vs 21%).
- Risk differs: Barbosa Very High, Simonsen Moderate.