Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ivo Grbic remove | Nikita Medvedev remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 31 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Fatih Karagümrük · Super Lig | FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1169 | 1176 |
| League minutes | 2880 (94%) | 2610 (97%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 43 | 37 |
| Market value | €1.0M | €750k |
| Estimated acquisition | €228k – €790k | €163k – €540k |
| Model value | €444k – €1.4M | €458k – €892k |
| Projected value (24m) | €327k – €963k | €259k – €581k |
| Bargain Index | 80/100 | 53/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€228k – €790k Model value (performance-implied)€444k – €1.4M Projected value (24 months)€327k – €963k Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€163k – €540k Model value (performance-implied)€458k – €892k Projected value (24 months)€259k – €581k Dashed line: current market value (€750k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ivo Grbic and Nikita Medvedev
- Medvedev plays in a stronger league (0.56 vs 0.40); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- On value for money the model prefers Grbic (Bargain Index 80 vs 53) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.