Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Breel Embolo removePhillip Tietz remove
Age2928
PositionStrikerStriker
Club · leagueStade Rennais FC · Ligue 11.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
League strength0.880.94
Team strength (Elo)15201479
League minutes1873 (61%)1809 (59%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.530.50
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.480.46
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile8166
Market value€15.0M€4.0M
Estimated acquisition€9.3M – €17.6M€1.9M – €4.6M
Model value€5.1M – €14.5M€3.4M – €11.7M
Projected value (24m)€3.7M – €10.5M€1.2M – €3.9M
Bargain Index1/10022/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskLowLow
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€9.3M – €17.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€5.1M – €14.5M
Projected value (24 months)€3.7M – €10.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €4.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.4M – €11.7M
Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Breel Embolo and Phillip Tietz

  • Tietz is estimated to cost far less (€3.0M vs €12.0M mid-estimate).
  • On value for money the model prefers Tietz (Bargain Index 22 vs 1) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.