Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Cassiano remove | Greg Kiltie remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 37 | 29 |
| Position | Striker | Left winger |
| Club · league | Casa Pia AC · Liga Portugal | Kilmarnock FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1225 | 1104 |
| League minutes | 1884 (62%) | 1894 (64%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 31 | 11 |
| Market value | €150k | €250k |
| Estimated acquisition | €43k – €214k | €61k – €187k |
| Model value | €81k – €329k | €313k – €528k |
| Projected value (24m) | €85k – €151k | €164k – €277k |
| Bargain Index | No index | 91/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€43k – €214k Model value (performance-implied)€81k – €329k Projected value (24 months)€85k – €151k Dashed line: current market value (€150k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€61k – €187k Model value (performance-implied)€313k – €528k Projected value (24 months)€164k – €277k Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Cassiano and Greg Kiltie
- Kiltie is 8 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Cassiano plays in a stronger league (0.58 vs 0.31); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Kiltie has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.52 vs 0.43 per 90).