Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Denis Vavro remove | Léo Pétrot remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 29 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga | Elche CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1372 | 1389 |
| League minutes | 1175 (38%) | 1568 (46%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.08 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 69 | 59 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.7M – €4.1M | €554k – €1.7M |
| Model value | €1.4M – €5.3M | €1.5M – €3.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.3M – €3.1M | €637k – €1.6M |
| Bargain Index | 17/100 | 38/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €4.1M Model value (performance-implied)€1.4M – €5.3M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.1M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€554k – €1.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €3.5M Projected value (24 months)€637k – €1.6M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Denis Vavro and Léo Pétrot
- Pétrot is estimated to cost far less (€1.1M vs €2.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Pétrot (Bargain Index 38 vs 17) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Vavro High, Pétrot Moderate.