Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Alen Ozbolt remove | Jay-Roy Grot remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 28 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | APO Levadiakos Football Club · Super League 1 | Odense Boldklub · Superliga |
| League strength | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1260 | 1215 |
| League minutes | 1376 (59%) | 1621 (82%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.92 | 0.56 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.90 | 0.66 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 23 | 16 |
| Market value | €700k | €750k |
| Estimated acquisition | €229k – €1.1M | €224k – €665k |
| Model value | €409k – €1.7M | €479k – €1.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €329k – €629k | €378k – €945k |
| Bargain Index | 48/100 | 94/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€229k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€409k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€329k – €629k Dashed line: current market value (€700k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€224k – €665k Model value (performance-implied)€479k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€378k – €945k Dashed line: current market value (€750k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Alen Ozbolt and Jay-Roy Grot
- Ozbolt has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.90 vs 0.66 per 90).
- Grot was used far more by the club (82% of minutes vs 59%).
- Grot is estimated to cost far less (€299k vs €451k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Grot (Bargain Index 94 vs 48) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.