Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Nikola Vasilj remove | Marvin Schwäbe remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 31 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga | 1.FC Köln · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1283 | 1347 |
| League minutes | 3060 (100%) | 3060 (100%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 65 | 66 |
| Market value | €4.5M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.5M – €6.0M | €1000k – €3.1M |
| Model value | €1.3M – €6.2M | €1.2M – €4.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.5M – €3.3M | €955k – €2.8M |
| Bargain Index | 11/100 | 46/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €6.0M Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €6.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.5M – €3.3M Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1000k – €3.1M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €4.3M Projected value (24 months)€955k – €2.8M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Nikola Vasilj and Marvin Schwäbe
- Schwäbe is estimated to cost far less (€1.3M vs €3.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Schwäbe (Bargain Index 46 vs 11) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Vasilj Low, Schwäbe Moderate.