Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Guillermo Maripán remove | Duje Caleta-Car remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 29 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Torino FC · Serie A | Real Sociedad · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1419 | 1462 |
| League minutes | 2145 (63%) | 2150 (63%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 78 | 87 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €2.8M |
| Estimated acquisition | €664k – €2.4M | €964k – €2.5M |
| Model value | €1.9M – €5.2M | €6.3M – €9.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €531k – €1.5M | €881k – €2.4M |
| Bargain Index | 10/100 | 71/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€664k – €2.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €5.2M Projected value (24 months)€531k – €1.5M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€964k – €2.5M Model value (performance-implied)€6.3M – €9.0M Projected value (24 months)€881k – €2.4M Dashed line: current market value (€2.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Guillermo Maripán and Duje Caleta-Car
- Caleta-Car is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Caleta-Car (Bargain Index 71 vs 10) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Maripán Moderate, Caleta-Car Low.