Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ismael Silva remove | Jeff Hardeveld remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Left midfielder |
| Club · league | RFK Akhmat Grozny · Premier Liga | SC Telstar · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1279 | 1216 |
| League minutes | 2217 (82%) | 2979 (97%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.39 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 36 | 28 |
| Market value | €800k | €450k |
| Estimated acquisition | €188k – €637k | €101k – €426k |
| Model value | €526k – €805k | €597k – €866k |
| Projected value (24m) | €280k – €529k | €225k – €406k |
| Bargain Index | 37/100 | 83/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€188k – €637k Model value (performance-implied)€526k – €805k Projected value (24 months)€280k – €529k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€101k – €426k Model value (performance-implied)€597k – €866k Projected value (24 months)€225k – €406k Dashed line: current market value (€450k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ismael Silva and Jeff Hardeveld
- Hardeveld has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.23 vs 0.11 per 90).
- Hardeveld was used far more by the club (97% of minutes vs 82%).
- On value for money the model prefers Hardeveld (Bargain Index 83 vs 37) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Silva High, Hardeveld Moderate.