Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Luka Jović remove | Aleksandr Sobolev remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 29 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1 | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.42 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1512 | 1597 |
| League minutes | 1866 (80%) | 1657 (61%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.82 | 0.65 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.46 | 0.37 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 76 | 70 |
| Market value | €9.0M | €7.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.5M – €9.4M | €2.2M – €6.3M |
| Model value | €4.0M – €17.3M | €3.6M – €11.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.5M – €9.0M | €1.9M – €5.8M |
| Bargain Index | 84/100 | 48/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.5M – €9.4M Model value (performance-implied)€4.0M – €17.3M Projected value (24 months)€3.5M – €9.0M Dashed line: current market value (€9.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.2M – €6.3M Model value (performance-implied)€3.6M – €11.8M Projected value (24 months)€1.9M – €5.8M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Luka Jović and Aleksandr Sobolev
- Jović has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.46 vs 0.37 per 90).
- Jović was used far more by the club (80% of minutes vs 61%).
- Sobolev is estimated to cost far less (€2.9M vs €4.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Jović (Bargain Index 84 vs 48) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Jović Moderate, Sobolev High.