Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Gregor Kobel remove | Marco Carnesecchi remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 26 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | Atalanta BC · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1656 | 1588 |
| League minutes | 3060 (100%) | 3330 (97%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 97 | 94 |
| Market value | €40.0M | €30.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €25.6M – €45.3M | €22.2M – €37.9M |
| Model value | €15.0M – €42.9M | €12.2M – €41.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €15.9M – €30.6M | €18.3M – €48.1M |
| Bargain Index | 5/100 | 54/100 |
| Development | Low | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€25.6M – €45.3M Model value (performance-implied)€15.0M – €42.9M Projected value (24 months)€15.9M – €30.6M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€22.2M – €37.9M Model value (performance-implied)€12.2M – €41.1M Projected value (24 months)€18.3M – €48.1M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Gregor Kobel and Marco Carnesecchi
- Carnesecchi is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Carnesecchi (Bargain Index 54 vs 5) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.