Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Talisca remove | Samu remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 30 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Fenerbahce · Super Lig | Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1477 | 1361 |
| League minutes | 1957 (64%) | 2039 (67%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 1.06 | 0.44 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 73 | 54 |
| Market value | €7.0M | €2.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.8M – €6.3M | €795k – €1.9M |
| Model value | €1.9M – €4.7M | €1.1M – €4.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.3M – €3.4M | €843k – €2.0M |
| Bargain Index | 3/100 | 45/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.8M – €6.3M Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €4.7M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.4M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€795k – €1.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €4.3M Projected value (24 months)€843k – €2.0M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Talisca and Samu
- Samu is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Samu plays in a stronger league (0.58 vs 0.40); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Talisca has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.49 vs 0.40 per 90).
- Samu is estimated to cost far less (€1.1M vs €4.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Samu (Bargain Index 45 vs 3) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Talisca Moderate, Samu High.