Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Semih Güler remove | Iván Márquez remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 32 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Kayserispor · Super Lig | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1154 | 1175 |
| League minutes | 2141 (70%) | 2502 (82%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 32 | 38 |
| Market value | €800k | €450k |
| Estimated acquisition | €215k – €706k | €118k – €407k |
| Model value | €283k – €526k | €283k – €1.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €255k – €554k | €204k – €370k |
| Bargain Index | 40/100 | 58/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€215k – €706k Model value (performance-implied)€283k – €526k Projected value (24 months)€255k – €554k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€118k – €407k Model value (performance-implied)€283k – €1.0M Projected value (24 months)€204k – €370k Dashed line: current market value (€450k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Semih Güler and Iván Márquez
- Márquez is estimated to cost far less (€246k vs €405k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Márquez (Bargain Index 58 vs 40) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.