Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Gerard Gumbau remove | Denis Suárez remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 32 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Rayo Vallecano · Laliga | Deportivo Alavés · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1518 | 1410 |
| League minutes | 1172 (34%) | 1407 (41%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.19 | 0.42 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 66 | 79 |
| Market value | €1.2M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €360k – €1.1M | €276k – €821k |
| Model value | €1.3M – €4.4M | €1.6M – €3.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €380k – €1.0M | €384k – €986k |
| Bargain Index | 66/100 | 91/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€360k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €4.4M Projected value (24 months)€380k – €1.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€276k – €821k Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €3.1M Projected value (24 months)€384k – €986k Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Gerard Gumbau and Denis Suárez
- Suárez has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.42 vs 0.19 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Suárez (Bargain Index 91 vs 66) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.