Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Zelimkhan Bakaev remove | Jordan Larsson remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 29 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва · Premier Liga | FC Copenhagen · Superliga |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1418 | 1359 |
| League minutes | 1615 (60%) | 1543 (78%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 41 | 39 |
| Market value | €2.5M | €3.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €844k – €2.6M | €1.0M – €3.1M |
| Model value | €1.1M – €3.7M | €917k – €4.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €809k – €1.9M | €1.4M – €3.4M |
| Bargain Index | 7/100 | 65/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€844k – €2.6M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €3.7M Projected value (24 months)€809k – €1.9M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €3.1M Model value (performance-implied)€917k – €4.6M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €3.4M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Zelimkhan Bakaev and Jordan Larsson
- Larsson was used far more by the club (78% of minutes vs 60%).
- On value for money the model prefers Larsson (Bargain Index 65 vs 7) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Bakaev High, Larsson Moderate.