Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lucas Hernández remove | Fran García remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 26 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1 | Real Madrid · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1818 | 1745 |
| League minutes | 1746 (57%) | 930 (27%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 89 | 88 |
| Market value | €18.0M | €10.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €8.6M – €17.9M | €4.9M – €12.3M |
| Model value | €12.6M – €22.2M | €11.1M – €29.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.5M – €10.5M | €4.2M – €11.9M |
| Bargain Index | 3/100 | 40/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€8.6M – €17.9M Model value (performance-implied)€12.6M – €22.2M Projected value (24 months)€4.5M – €10.5M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€4.9M – €12.3M Model value (performance-implied)€11.1M – €29.1M Projected value (24 months)€4.2M – €11.9M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lucas Hernández and Fran García
- García is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Hernández was used far more by the club (57% of minutes vs 27%).
- On value for money the model prefers García (Bargain Index 40 vs 3) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.