Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Eric Bailly remove | Adam Dzwigala remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 30 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Real Oviedo · Laliga | FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1294 | 1283 |
| League minutes | 1236 (36%) | 1295 (42%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 71 | 44 |
| Market value | €1.2M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €342k – €1.3M | €228k – €618k |
| Model value | €656k – €3.4M | €440k – €1.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €416k – €1.1M | €319k – €765k |
| Bargain Index | 44/100 | 83/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€342k – €1.3M Model value (performance-implied)€656k – €3.4M Projected value (24 months)€416k – €1.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€228k – €618k Model value (performance-implied)€440k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€319k – €765k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Eric Bailly and Adam Dzwigala
- Dzwigala is estimated to cost far less (€304k vs €845k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Dzwigala (Bargain Index 83 vs 44) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Bailly High, Dzwigala Moderate.