Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Fedor Chalov remove | Brynjólfur Willumsson remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 25 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Kayserispor · Super Lig | FC Groningen · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1238 | 1248 |
| League minutes | 1207 (39%) | 1208 (40%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 28 | 14 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €900k |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.1M – €3.1M | €294k – €795k |
| Model value | €599k – €1.7M | €274k – €657k |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.2M – €3.2M | €474k – €1.3M |
| Bargain Index | 47/100 | 96/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.1M Model value (performance-implied)€599k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.2M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€294k – €795k Model value (performance-implied)€274k – €657k Projected value (24 months)€474k – €1.3M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Fedor Chalov and Brynjólfur Willumsson
- Willumsson is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Willumsson is estimated to cost far less (€391k vs €1.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Willumsson (Bargain Index 96 vs 47) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.