Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jacob Bruun Larsen remove | Riccardo Sottil remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 27 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Burnley FC · Premier League | US Lecce · Serie A |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1343 | 1352 |
| League minutes | 1023 (30%) | 1072 (31%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.09 | 0.25 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 69 | 55 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.3M – €4.3M | €952k – €2.5M |
| Model value | €5.7M – €7.7M | €2.2M – €6.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.3M – €3.1M | €1.3M – €3.6M |
| Bargain Index | 21/100 | 84/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €4.3M Model value (performance-implied)€5.7M – €7.7M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.1M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€952k – €2.5M Model value (performance-implied)€2.2M – €6.8M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.6M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jacob Bruun Larsen and Riccardo Sottil
- Larsen plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.93); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Sottil is estimated to cost far less (€1.3M vs €2.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Sottil (Bargain Index 84 vs 21) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.