Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Jarrod Bowen removeDominic Calvert-Lewin remove
Age2929
PositionRight wingerStriker
Club · leagueWest Ham United · Premier LeagueLeeds United · Premier League
League strength1.301.30
Team strength (Elo)15201521
League minutes3409 (100%)2730 (80%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.530.49
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.650.65
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile9794
Market value€30.0M€22.0M
Estimated acquisition€15.8M – €33.2M€13.7M – €29.8M
Model value€22.7M – €50.2M€17.4M – €33.8M
Projected value (24m)€11.2M – €19.9M€7.0M – €14.4M
Bargain Index10/1000/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskLowLow
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€15.8M – €33.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€22.7M – €50.2M
Projected value (24 months)€11.2M – €19.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€13.7M – €29.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€17.4M – €33.8M
Projected value (24 months)€7.0M – €14.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€22.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Jarrod Bowen and Dominic Calvert-Lewin

  • Bowen was used far more by the club (100% of minutes vs 80%).
  • On value for money the model prefers Bowen (Bargain Index 10 vs 0) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.