Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Justin Bijlow remove | Federico Ravaglia remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 26 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Genoa CFC · Serie A | Bologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1407 | 1523 |
| League minutes | 1395 (41%) | 1469 (43%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 56 | 58 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €1.8M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.5M – €4.8M | €834k – €2.5M |
| Model value | €1.1M – €5.1M | €2.2M – €6.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.4M – €4.1M | €898k – €3.4M |
| Bargain Index | 40/100 | 70/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €4.8M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €5.1M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €4.1M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€834k – €2.5M Model value (performance-implied)€2.2M – €6.4M Projected value (24 months)€898k – €3.4M Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Justin Bijlow and Federico Ravaglia
- Ravaglia is estimated to cost far less (€1.6M vs €3.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Ravaglia (Bargain Index 70 vs 40) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Bijlow Low, Ravaglia Moderate.