Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Adrian Semper remove | Vitaliy Gudiev remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 31 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Pisa Sporting Club · Serie A | Akron Togliatti · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1260 | 1212 |
| League minutes | 2250 (66%) | 2250 (83%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 49 | 34 |
| Market value | €1.8M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €552k – €1.6M | €196k – €751k |
| Model value | €552k – €2.6M | €424k – €739k |
| Projected value (24m) | €796k – €2.0M | €254k – €649k |
| Bargain Index | 79/100 | 26/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€552k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€552k – €2.6M Projected value (24 months)€796k – €2.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€196k – €751k Model value (performance-implied)€424k – €739k Projected value (24 months)€254k – €649k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Adrian Semper and Vitaliy Gudiev
- Semper is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Semper plays in a stronger league (0.93 vs 0.56); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Gudiev was used far more by the club (83% of minutes vs 66%).
- Gudiev is estimated to cost far less (€461k vs €736k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Semper (Bargain Index 79 vs 26) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Semper Low, Gudiev High.