Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Emiliano Buendía remove | Jacob Murphy remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 31 |
| Position | Left winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Aston Villa · Premier League | Newcastle United · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1721 | 1631 |
| League minutes | 1760 (52%) | 1620 (47%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 94 | 94 |
| Market value | €16.0M | €12.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €4.4M – €12.9M | €3.9M – €10.7M |
| Model value | €15.8M – €35.9M | €13.1M – €25.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.3M – €10.8M | €2.6M – €6.0M |
| Bargain Index | 32/100 | 11/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€4.4M – €12.9M Model value (performance-implied)€15.8M – €35.9M Projected value (24 months)€4.3M – €10.8M Dashed line: current market value (€16.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€3.9M – €10.7M Model value (performance-implied)€13.1M – €25.5M Projected value (24 months)€2.6M – €6.0M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Emiliano Buendía and Jacob Murphy
- On value for money the model prefers Buendía (Bargain Index 32 vs 11) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Buendía Moderate, Murphy High.