Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Joël Schmied remove | Daniel Elfadli remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 29 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | 1.FC Köln · Bundesliga | Hamburger SV · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1347 | 1380 |
| League minutes | 1080 (35%) | 1253 (41%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 39 | 42 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.4M – €3.7M | €1.2M – €3.2M |
| Model value | €725k – €2.5M | €604k – €3.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.2M – €3.7M | €920k – €2.8M |
| Bargain Index | 23/100 | 12/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €3.7M Model value (performance-implied)€725k – €2.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €3.2M Model value (performance-implied)€604k – €3.0M Projected value (24 months)€920k – €2.8M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Joël Schmied and Daniel Elfadli
- On value for money the model prefers Schmied (Bargain Index 23 vs 12) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Schmied Moderate, Elfadli Low.