Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Christoph Baumgartner remove | Eduard Spertsyan remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 26 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | RB Leipzig · Bundesliga | FK Krasnodar · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1568 | 1536 |
| League minutes | 2793 (91%) | 2545 (94%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.71 | 1.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 91 | 85 |
| Market value | €40.0M | €25.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €24.4M – €46.0M | €14.6M – €26.6M |
| Model value | €14.6M – €43.4M | €8.7M – €29.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €15.1M – €41.0M | €15.1M – €31.2M |
| Bargain Index | 13/100 | 63/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€24.4M – €46.0M Model value (performance-implied)€14.6M – €43.4M Projected value (24 months)€15.1M – €41.0M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€14.6M – €26.6M Model value (performance-implied)€8.7M – €29.2M Projected value (24 months)€15.1M – €31.2M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Christoph Baumgartner and Eduard Spertsyan
- Baumgartner plays in a stronger league (0.94 vs 0.56); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Spertsyan is estimated to cost far less (€20.1M vs €37.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Spertsyan (Bargain Index 63 vs 13) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Baumgartner Low, Spertsyan Moderate.